Public Sector

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Grant Thornton's chief economist responds to the chancellor's Pre-Budget Report statement on the uk economy
Pre-Budget Report: is the party over for local government?
UK government needs a clearer strategy for investors of 'infrastructure UK'
Low carbon growth measures need to go a lot further

Grant Thornton's chief economist responds to the chancellor's Pre-Budget Report statement on the uk economy

Public sector net debt is set to peak at 78% of GDP in 2014/15, more than double the amount (36%) that the UK entered into the current downturn says Stephen Gifford, Chief Economist at Grant Thornton.

"The UK has overextended itself. The Chancellor went some way to tackling the level of government debt today, but did not go far enough. While it may not be sensible to cut spending in the midst of a recession, the markets and the international community are crying out for a realistic plan to restore confidence in the UK economy."

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Pre-Budget Report: is the party over for local government?

"The party is over for local government spending. The Pre-Budget Report suggests that so-called unprotected expenditure by local government needs to be reduced by 14% over the next Comprehensive Spending Review period (2011 - 14). It suggests that local government will need to cut non-essential spending by as much as 4.5% per annum in the years 2011 to 2014 or raise Council Tax to cover the difference. Local government could even be required to make cuts as high as 5.5-6.0% in order to offset underlying spending pressures in essential services like adult social care." says Damian Dewhirst, Associate Director at the Government and Infrastructure Advisory practice of Grant Thornton.

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UK government needs a clearer strategy for investors of 'infrastructure UK'

Commenting on the establishment of Infrastructure UK, which was announced in today's Pre -Budget Report, Nathan Goode, Renewables Partner for Grant Thornton's Government and Infrastructure Advisory team says:

"In the establishment of Infrastructure UK, we welcome the unified approach the UK Government is adopting to its future infrastructure needs. Meeting the low carbon agenda and a new high speed line from London to the West Midlands and beyond is expected to require in excess of £200bn of new funding.

"However, if investors are to be attracted to meet this gap, they require the Government to provide a clear strategy and supportive investment framework. The creation of Infrastructure UK working closely with the sponsor departments, represents a clear tick in the box. That the Government is looking to build on the successful track record of the UK in PFI/PPP will provide a further fillip to the infrastructure investment community."

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Low carbon growth measures need to go a lot further

Carbon capture and storage demonstration projects: "The process for identifying sites for carbon capture and storage (CCS) is still, for the most part, in difficulty. The focus should therefore be on ensuring the existing process works better before more funding is sent in its direction. There is also a question mark over who will ensure that these projects are value for money and effectively managed" said Nathan Goode, Energy and Renewable Partner at Grant Thornton.

Funding carbon capture and storage demonstration projects via contributions from electricity suppliers - Nathan says: "Contributions from electricity suppliers towards CCS are positive on the face of it but this measure will be less favourable among many if the costs are merely passed back in the direction of paying electricity customers."

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