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Christmas 2009 saw twice as many retailers report like for like sales increases over the festive period compared with 2008

Despite gloomy predictions, the festive season saw an excellent recovery from the retail sector as 87% of UK retailers reported an increase in like for like sales over the Christmas period for 2009, compared with just 42% last year, according to Grant Thornton's Review of Retail Christmas Trading Updates.* 

Of particular interest is that the homeware and household sector went from worst to best performing sector, indicating some improvement in consumer confidence and a potential recovery in the housing market. All retailers in this sector performed well although the average increase in like for like sales of 7% failed to fully recoup the average decline in sales of 11.3% recorded over Christmas 2008. And in a mirror image of the results from last year's survey the entertainment sector went from being the best to worst performing sector this year.
 
"Most of the predictions relating to how UK retailers would perform over Christmas were extremely pessimistic. However, the turnaround in performance compared to Christmas 2008 is extremely marked," says David Bush, Retail Director at Grant Thornton.

"The majority of trading updates issued by UK retailers throughout the earlier part of 2009 were relatively confident in tone, the last quarter showing a particularly good performance and therefore the relatively strong retail figures over Christmas should be viewed as a continuation of a trend rather than a "blip"', continues Bush.

"Many consumers clearly decided that they were tired of showing spending restraint since 2008 and were determined to spend again as long as the retailers proved persuasive enough, which they generally did this Christmas," argues Bush.

Food and Drink retailers

Similar to previous years, this sector delivered a solid performance. Whilst the average like for like growth in sales was "only" 4.5%, the 2008 comparatives were generally strong. The sales growth exhibited particularly by the supermarkets continued to be driven by non-grocery sales. For example, J Sainsbury reported that complementary non-food ranges' sales grew at four times those of food ranges in the  Christmas trading period. Tesco reported strong sales growth in their clothing, toys and electrical categories.

Internet shopping continues to grow

Internet shopping continued to increase in significance this Christmas. 10 of the 37 retailers surveyed (27%) made direct reference to the significant year on year internet sales growth that they had achieved.

"There is still inevitable uncertainty of what this means for the retail market over the next six  months but what is certain is that retailers have been playing safe and being overly cautious in their predictions. Whilst the UK does still remain in a recession and unemployment does continue to increase, many shoppers are benefiting from historically low interest rates. Furthermore, these figures show that if the brand and price are right, customers are still willing to spend." concludes Bush.

For further information, please contact:

Suvra Datta, Grant Thornton Press Office, 0207 728 2375 or via email on suvra.datta@gtuk.com

* The findings and conclusions contained in this survey follow the analysis of 38 trading updates issued by UK retailers since January 2010. We have focused, specifically, upon the key measure of like for like sales increases posted over the crucial Christmas trading period.